Bitcoin NVT Signal

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About NVT Signal

NVT Signal (NVTS) is a derivative of NVT Ratio by Dimitry Kalichkin which provides more emphasis on predictive signaling ahead of price peaks.

Calculation

NVTS = Network Value / 90d MA of Daily Transaction Value.

This differs from Standard NVT Ratio which is simply the Network Value divided by Daily Transaction Value, and then interpolated using forward/backward moving averages to create a smooth line.

Data Sources

On-chain volume are estimates from:

• Coin Metrics Pro
• Blockchain.com

Coin Metrics volume estimates are from their Data Pro product used here under license

Related Articles

• NVT Signal, a new trading indicator to pick tops and bottoms
• Rethinking Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio
• Introducing NVT Ratio (Bitcoin`s PE Ratio), use it to detect bubbles

Signalling

Bitcoin Price Models
Various price models for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin NVT Ratio
Bitcoin's PE ratio. Detects when Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued.

Bitcoin NVT Signal
NVT Ratio optimised to be more responsive, useful as a long-range trading indicator.

Bitcoin VWAP Ratio
A useful signal for local and global market tops and bottoms using volume weighted average price.

Bitcoin RVT Ratio
A variation of MVRV Ratio using on-chain volume as a key metric to find the market tops and bottoms.

Bitcoin MVRV Ratio
A Bitcoin under/overvaluation indicator based on Realised Cap.

Bitcoin RVT Ratio
A volume-based variation of MVRV used to determine market tops and bottoms.

Bitcoin Network Momentum
A leading indicator on Bitcoin price based on volume throughput through the blockchain (experimental).

Bitcoin Mayer Multiple
Trace Mayer's ratio to measure Bitcoin price in relation to its historical movement.

Bitcoin Difficulty Ribbon
A view into miner capitulation, typically signals times when buying is sensible.

Investment Related

Bitcoin Risk-Adjusted Returns
Compares Bitcoin ROI, adjusted for its risk, to other assets.

Bitcoin Valuations
A collection of useful valuation metrics on Bitcoin.

Bitcoin HODL Waves
A cross sectional view of Bitcoin HODLers over time, shows demand and supply from new and old HODLers.

Bitcoin HODL Capitalisation
A visualisation of Bitcoin's capitalisation stratified by investor HODL duration.

Bitcoin vs Gold
Compare the investment performance of Bitcoin vs Gold.

Monetary Properties

Bitcoin Volatility
Bitcoin volatility trend, compares to FOREX, also traded volume.

Bitcoin Volatility vs Other Asset Classes
Compares Bitcoin volatility to other asset classes.

Bitcoin Money Supply vs USD
Is Bitcoin trending towards a world reserve currency?

Bitcoin Inflation Rate
Track the historic inflation annual rate of Bitcoin's money supply.

Bitcoin Monetary Velocity
Is Bitcoin trending towards payments or savings/investments?

Bitcoin Volume vs Network Value
Volume transmitted by Bitcoin's blockchain tracks very closely to its Network Value.

Network Properties

Bitcoin Network Properties
Tracks Bitcoin's utility value, security, and valuation over time.

Bitcoin Segwit Adoption
Track the adoption of Segwit.

Bitcoin Network Throughput
Bitcoin's throughput in transactions, payments, and USD value per second.

Bitcoin Congestion
User-centric metrics tracking network congestion, e.g. payment fees, confirm times.

Bitcoin Hash Price
Price per hash tracks the Bitcoin's mining hardware capabilities over time.

Bitcoin Outputs per Tx
Tracks how many outputs are packed into each Bitcoin Transaction.